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Government
We evaluate and anticipate risks, changes, and opportunities in the national political landscape.
From Ambition to Stagnation: The Road Ahead for Petro's Administration
This report provides a detailed analysis of the first two years of Gustavo Petro's administration, examining the challenges he has faced
Aug 8, 2024


Implementation of the peace agreement under Petro
President Gustavo Petro faces the important task of continuing the implementation of the historic 2016 Peace Accord between the Colombian government and the Revolutionary Armed Forces of Colombia (FARC). In this Colombia Risk Analysis special report, we analyze the history of the implementation of the peace accord, the current status of implementation, the role of the private sector in the peacebuilding process, and the likely steps the new government must take to further the
Aug 16, 2022


What to expect in the first 100 days of Gustavo Petro’s government
Gustavo Petro’s historic election in Colombia arose from the Colombian people’s restlessness with the state of affairs and their desire for change. In this Colombia Risk Analysis special report, we analyze the different relationships Petro will have in his first 100 days with the overall economy, including the financial sector and the labor market; the extractive sector, as it relates to the energy transition and climate change; the agricultural sector, concerning food securi
Aug 5, 2022


Congress will be a sieve for Petro's reforms
This report analyzes the role of Colombia’s Congress as a legislative filter for President Gustavo Petro’s proposed reforms. Through a political-institutional lens, it examines governance dynamics, power balances, and the challenges the Executive will face in advancing its agenda within a fragmented Congress
Jul 20, 2022


Tax Reform: it will pass, but first it will undergo changes
This report analyzes Colombia’s 2021 tax reform proposal, highlighting its legislative viability and the social tensions driving the need for changes. Through a political and economic lens, it assesses implementation challenges, expected fiscal impact, and implications for governance
May 18, 2021




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